ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN PASAR TERHADAP PEMENUHAN KEBUTUHAN POKOK MASYARAKAT MASA LEBARAN: BERDASARKAN TEORI KESEIMBANGAN HARGA PASAR
Abstract
This study analyzes changes in market equilibrium regarding basic necessities during the period leading up to Eid al-Fitr until Eid al-Fitr in 2024 to 2025 using market price equilibrium theory through a quantitative descriptive approach based on secondary data on daily prices from the Market and Basic Necessities Monitoring System (SP2KP) and the Ministry of Trade and the Strategic Food Price Information Center The commodities analyzed include rice, cooking oil, eggs, and meat, with a focus on shifts in demand and supply as well as changes in price equilibrium before, during, and after Eid. Empirical results show that during the period from 14 days before to 7 days after Eid, all commodities experienced price increases, with the highest spikes occurring in meat (±17.38%), chili, and cooking oil. This was due to a significant and simultaneous increase in demand, while supply tended to be rigid due to distribution limitations, seasonal factors, and indications of hoarding and speculation. This condition caused a shift in market equilibrium to a higher price level (seasonal disequilibrium). After Eid al-Fitr, prices gradually declined and approached the initial equilibrium as demand and distribution normalized, confirming that fluctuations in the prices of basic necessities during Eid al-Fitr were in line with market equilibrium theory but were strongly influenced by non-productive external factors.
Downloads
References
Aji, S., & Team, R. T. (2025, September 16). Proses Terbentuknya Keseimbangan Pasar | Ekonomi Kelas 10. Belajar Gratis Di Rumah Kapan Pun! | Blog Ruangguru. https://www.ruangguru.com/blog/proses-terbentuknya-keseimbangan-pasar
Ariska, R., & Aziz, A. (n.d.). PENIMBUNAN BARANG PERSPEKTIF HUKUM EKONOMI ISLAM.
Cahya, N., & Maula, K. A. (2021). Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Penawaran Dan Permintaan Bahan Pokok Di Indonesia. TRANSEKONOMIKA: AKUNTANSI, BISNIS DAN KEUANGAN, 1(4), 311–320. https://doi.org/10.55047/transekonomika.v1i4.56
Damayani, R., Hasbiullah, H., & Aisyah, S. (2020). PENGARUH HARI RAYA IDUL FITRI TERHADAP POLA PERGERAKAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2010-2019. ICOR: Journal of Regional Economics, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.24252/icor.v1i1.19624
Erwin, E., Setyastuti, R., Sumantri, S., Munawar, A., Agustina, lda A. S., Imlabla, F. V., Munizu, M., Waty, E., Anindyasari, D., & Iswahyudi, M. S. (2023). EKONOMI MANAJERIAL: Teori, Konsep, Strategi & Aplikasi Komprehensif Ekonomi Manajerial. PT. Sonpedia Publishing Indonesia.
Febianti, Y. N. (n.d.). PERMINTAAN DALAM EKONOMI MIKRO.
Hidayati, S., Pd, S., & Pd, M. (n.d.). Jl. Surya Kencana No. 1 Pamulang Gd. A, Ruang 211 Universitas Pamulang Tangerang Selatan—Banten.
Indef Soroti Kenaikan Harga Kebutuhan Pokok Jelang Lebaran 2025 | IVoox Indonesia. (n.d.). Retrieved November 15, 2025, from https://ivoox.id/indef-soroti-kenaikan-harga-kebutuhan-pokok-jelang-lebaran-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Isdarmadji, N. Q. (2025, February 21). Kolaborasi Pemerintah Rumuskan Strategi Jaga Harga Pangan Ramadan dan Idulfitri. Kementerian Pendayagunaan Aparatur Negara dan Reformasi Birokrasi. https://menpan.go.id/site/berita-terkini/berita-daerah/kolaborasi-pemerintah-rumuskan-strategi-jaga-harga-pangan-ramadan-dan-idulfitri?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Jelang Ramadhan, DKI Jakarta Antisipasi Lonjakan Permintaan Daging Sapi. (n.d.). merdeka.com. Retrieved November 15, 2025, from https://planet.merdeka.com/hot-news/jelang-ramadhan-dki-jakarta-antisipasi-lonjakan-permintaan-daging-sapi-313319-mvk.html
Khasanah, F. A., & Adinugraha, H. H. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Perubahan Iklim Terhadap Kenaikan Harga Kebutuhan Pokok Di Pasar Sragi Menjelang Ramadan. Studia Economica : Jurnal Ekonomi Islam, 10(1), 45–58. https://doi.org/10.30821/se.v10i1.19961
Lonjakan Permintaan Bahan Pangan Jelang Idul Fitri, Kemendagri Siapkan Langkah Antisipasi. (n.d.). http://bangda.kemendagri.go.id/. Retrieved November 15, 2025, from http://bangda.kemendagri.go.id/berita/baca_kontent/1385/lonjakan_permintaan_bahan_pangan_jelang_idul_fitri_kemendagri_siapkan_langkah_antisipasi
Meytriana, A., Hasyima, M., & Hayati, S. (2025). Keseimbangan Pasar Barang dalam Perspektif Ekonomi Islam dan Konvensional: Analisis Kurva IS. PENG: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Manajemen, 2(3), 3764–3771. https://doi.org/10.62710/7gx0sp19
Nainggolan, K. (2008). Ketahanan dan Stabilitas Pasokan, Permintaan, dan Harga Komoditas Pangan. Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian, 6(2), 114–139. https://doi.org/10.21082/akp.v6n2.2008.114-139
Nugroho, A. R., Santosa, D. T., Nurmaliah, E. S., Sholehah, I. Z., Fatiya, K. R., Setyawan, M. G., Syafi’i, M., Matriana, R., Kusmawati, S. A., & Asnur, S. Z. (2025). Etnografi Kenaikan Bahan Pangan Ketika Mendekati Hari Raya Idul Fitri dalam Perspektif Sosial dan Ekonomi Masyarakat Gunung Pati Kota Semarang. Jurnal Mediasi, 4(2), 241–255.
Pemerintah Pastikan Stok Pangan dan Harga Bahan Pokok Stabil Jelang Lebaran. (n.d.). Retrieved November 15, 2025, from https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2025/03/21/17174861/pemerintah-pastikan-stok-pangan-dan-harga-bahan-pokok-stabil-jelang-lebaran?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Saleh, S., Wardani, D. T. K., & Ivantri, M. A. (2019). RAMADHAN, EID UL FITR, AND INFLATION: LESSON FROM INDONESIAN SUBNATIONAL DATA. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 20(2). https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.20.2.5020
Titu, M. A., Darsana, I. M., Rahmadona, L., Sishadiyati, Ariani, Triyono, A., Masruha, Misno, Sinaga, H. R., Sastradinata, B. L. N., Ansar, & Hartono, M. (2023). PENGANTAR ILMU EKONOMI. CV. Intelektual Manifes Media.
Tulus, T., Ahmad, A. A., & Suharno, S. (2020). Mengukur efektifitas program pengendalian inflasi pada hari besar keagamaan (idul fitri, natal dan tahun baru) di kota tegal. INOVASI : Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan, dan Manajemen, 16(1), 51–59. https://doi.org/10.30872/jinv.v16i1.7013